Predictive models of battle dynamics

Jan Jelinek

doi:10.1117/12.440040

19 September 2001 Predictive models of battle dynamics

Jan Jelinek

Proceedings Volume 4367, Enabling Technology for Simulation Science V; (2001) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.440040
Event: Aerospace/Defense Sensing, Simulation, and Controls, 2001, Orlando, FL, United States

Abstract

The application of control and game theories to improve battle planning and execution requires models, which allow military strategists and commanders to reliably predict the expected outcomes of various alternatives over a long horizon into the future. We have developed probabilistic battle dynamics models, whose building blocks in the form of Markov chains are derived from the first principles, and applied them successfully in the design of the Model Predictive Task Commander package. This paper introduces basic concepts of our modeling approach and explains the probability distributions needed to compute the transition probabilities of the Markov chains.

Citation Download Citation

Jan Jelinek "Predictive models of battle dynamics", Proc. SPIE 4367, Enabling Technology for Simulation Science V, (19 September 2001); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.440040

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