KEYWORDS: Nuclear power plants, Landsat, Data modeling, Temperature metrology, Satellites, Satellite imaging, Education and training, Earth observing sensors
Thermal discharges from coastal power plants can significantly impact marine ecosystems, particularly in environmentally sensitive regions. This study focuses on the Barakah Nuclear Power Plant, situated in the hypersaline and thermally extreme waters of the Arabian Gulf. By leveraging satellite observations and advanced machine learning techniques, this research aims to enhance the monitoring and understanding of thermal plume dynamics, providing valuable insights into their spatial and temporal characteristics. In particular, the study seeks to downscale sea surface temperature (SST) data from a coarse resolution of ~2 km (GHRSST) to a high resolution of 100 m, enabling improved spatial and temporal analysis of thermal anomalies. Ambient seawater temperatures in the region, reaching ~36°C during late summer, underscore the importance of accurately assessing thermal plume dispersion. Landsat 8/9 imagery was utilized to derive SST from Band 10 and Band 11, with validation against in-situ measurements confirming its reliability. However, the limited 8-day revisit interval of Landsat satellites restricts continuous monitoring. To address this, the study employed the Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithm, incorporating GHRSST SST, wind data, and SST biases as input features. The downscaling from ~2 km to 100 m resolution provided enhanced spatial detail of SST patterns. The model was trained on data spanning 2017–2021 and validated with 2022 data, achieving an R2 of 0.94 and an RMSE of 1.23°C. The downscaled SST accurately resolved thermal plumes, demonstrating strong agreement with reference data and enabling finer characterization of plume dispersion patterns. This integrated approach highlights the potential of combining satellite remote sensing and advanced machine learning techniques to monitor thermal discharges at high spatial and temporal resolutions, offering a robust framework for assessing environmental impacts in ecologically sensitive coastal regions.
KEYWORDS: Aluminum, Water, Time series analysis, Oceanography, Data modeling, Coastal modeling, Statistical analysis, Climate change, Temperature metrology, Remote sensing
The Arabian Gulf is characterized by high water scarcity and quickly growing populations over the years. This led to increase of desalination plants in the coastal areas surrounding it. The aim of this paper is to study the effect of the brine discharge from the desalination plant on the water quality of the Gulf over the years. Remote sensing data was collected for Chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) and Sea Surface Temperature (SST) for the period from 2002 to 2020, while Sea Surface Salinity (SSS) was tracked from 2010 to 2019, obtained from SMOS. Anomalies' graphs for each parameter were obtained and K-mean clustering was used. Additionally, seasonal Mann Kendall Test and time-series analysis were performed at three desalination plants for SST prediction. SST has generally increased especially on the coast inside and outside the Gulf, As for Chl-a, it had a less uniform change, but it had shown an increase outside the Gulf and a decrease inside it with the exception of some coastal areas. K-means clustering generated a best fit with 7 clusters on the map. The most predominant clusters were 1, 3, 4, 6, 7 representing the east of the gulf and the simulated area outside the gulf, coastal areas inside the gulf, the western side of the gulf, and the neck of the gulf and the coastal areas. It can be concluded that there are changes in SSS, Chl-a and SST over recent years in the Gulf. Moreover, SSS data needs further investigation with higher resolution and model enhancement.
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