We are in the process of developing examples of acceptance testing design, and data analysis for connectors, for the IEC standard for reliability in passive optical devices. In this paper we describe the progress we are making in combining existing evidence, generating mechanistic hypothesis, and developing from these hypothesis valid experiments to use as acceptance tests for connectors. The connectors we are considering use epoxies or other adhesive polymers to bond the fiber into a ferrule, typically ceramic, at the interconnection. We show how the demarcation approximation, which allows us to approximately map out the physical processes that can occur for a given set of exposure conditions and time, is vital to the development of these kinds of tests.
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