Methodology for building confidence measures

Aaron L. Bramson

doi:10.1117/12.542398

12 April 2004 Methodology for building confidence measures

Aaron L. Bramson

Proceedings Volume 5434, Multisensor, Multisource Information Fusion: Architectures, Algorithms, and Applications 2004; (2004) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.542398
Event: Defense and Security, 2004, Orlando, Florida, United States

Abstract

This paper presents a generalized methodology for propagating known or estimated levels of individual source document truth reliability to determine the confidence level of a combined output. Initial document certainty levels are augmented by (i) combining the reliability measures of multiply sources, (ii) incorporating the truth reinforcement of related elements, and (iii) incorporating the importance of the individual elements for determining the probability of truth for the whole. The result is a measure of confidence in system output based on the establishing of links among the truth values of inputs. This methodology was developed for application to a multi-component situation awareness tool under development at the Air Force Research Laboratory in Rome, New York. Determining how improvements in data quality and the variety of documents collected affect the probability of a correct situational detection helps optimize the performance of the tool overall.

Citation Download Citation

Aaron L. Bramson "Methodology for building confidence measures", Proc. SPIE 5434, Multisensor, Multisource Information Fusion: Architectures, Algorithms, and Applications 2004, (12 April 2004); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.542398

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