Dr. Carrie Manore Profile

Dr. Carrie Manore

at Los Alamos National Lab

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Publications (3)

Proceedings Article | 20 April 2021 Poster + Presentation + Paper

Improving mosquito population models over the Greater Toronto Area using MSI and SAR data

Sydney DeMets, Amanda Ziemann, Carrie Manore, Curtis Russell

Proceedings Volume 11727, 117271I (2021) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2587714

KEYWORDS: Synthetic aperture radar, Multispectral imaging, Vegetation, Landsat, Earth observing sensors, Systems modeling, Spatial resolution, Backscatter

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As West Nile Virus (WNV) and St. Louis Encephalitis (SLE) become more prevalent across North America, there is an increased risk of fatal neuroinvasive cases. In order for public health officials to prepare for these cases and potentially intervene, the ability to forecast mosquito borne disease outbreaks is paramount. In practice, however, such vector borne diseases are notoriously difficult to predict due to their seemingly sporadic spatial and temporal outbreak patterns. Recent research has demonstrated that mosquito abundance is causally related to WNV/SLE prevalence, providing a practical starting point for developing mosquito-borne disease forecasting systems. When focusing on building mosquito population models, understanding the reproduction environment of Culex mosquitos (WNV and SLE's primary vectors) is key: they rely on warmth, water, and vegetation to reproduce. Previous work has shown that global-coverage multispectral imagery (MSI) (i.e., Landsat 8, Sentinel- 2) is a valuable resource for characterizing vegetation health as a predictor of mosquito population, but it is limited in that it may not provide the spatial resolution necessary to distinguish between, e.g., a well-fertilized lawn (poor Culex habitat) and a stand of trees (good Culex habitat). The backscatter information collected by synthetic aperture radar (SAR) imagery provides opportunity to distinguish between broader categories of vegetation type, potentially helping to fill this gap. This research uses publicly available global-coverage MSI and SAR imagery (Landsat 8, Sentinel-2, and Sentinel-1) to explore if vegetation type, in tandem with vegetation health, improves our ability to forecast mosquito populations. Vegetation characterization is done over the Greater Toronto Area from 2014 to 2017, and we derive weekly time series from MSI, spectral indices, and SAR for this time period. We then quantify the strength of vegetation health and type as a predictor of Culex abundance.

Proceedings Article | 19 May 2020 Open Access

Too big, too small, or just right? The influence of multispectral image size on mosquito population predictions in the greater Toronto area

Sydney DeMets, Amanda Ziemann, Carrie Manore, Curtis Russell

Proceedings Volume 11392, 113920Y (2020) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2558128

KEYWORDS: Data modeling, Multispectral imaging, Near infrared, Vegetation, Model-based design, Infrared imaging, Earth observing sensors, Landsat, Animal model studies, Temperature metrology

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Proceedings Article | 14 May 2019 Paper

Understanding polynomial distributed lag models: truncation lag implications for a mosquito-borne disease risk model in Brazil

Jessica Conrad, Amanda Ziemann, Randall Refeld, Nidhi Parikh, Amir Siraj, Nicholas Generous, Sara Del Valle, Geoffrey Fairchild, Carrie Manore

Proceedings Volume 10986, 109860N (2019) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2536369

KEYWORDS: Data modeling, Vegetation, Humidity, Landsat, Statistical analysis, Remote sensing, Satellites, Data acquisition

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